Running Estimates

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Quarterly Operational Environment (OE) Insights Roll-Up

10/22/2026
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The quarterly OE Insights Roll-Up for the fourth quarter, FY26 synthesizes the preceding 3 months of running estimates into a…

February 2026 Operational Environment Running Estimate Narrative

03/05/2026
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This narrative documents the OE insights gleaned from the T2COM G-2’s FY26 Program of Analysis—documented from open sources over the…

War in Ukraine Sociocultural Running Estimate 23 – Russian and Ukrainian Home Fronts Straining Under War Fatigue

03/03/2026
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In This Running Estimate… Putin’s popularity dipped slightly to 85 percent, reflecting a decrease in the percentage of Russians who…

January 2026 Operational Environment Running Estimate Narrative

02/05/2026
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This narrative documents the OE insights gleaned from the T2COM G-2’s FY26 Program of Analysis—documented from open sources over the…

War in Ukraine Sociocultural Running Estimate 22 – Internal Challenges for Post-War Ukraine

01/07/2026
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In This Running Estimate… • Domestic support for Putin remains high, and support for Russia’s so-called “special military operation (SMO)”…

December 2025 Operational Environment Running Estimate Narrative

01/07/2026
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This narrative documents the OE insights gleaned from the T2COM G-2’s FY26 Program of Analysis—documented from open sources over the…

4th Quarter FY24 Operational Environment (OE) Assessments

12/02/2025
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The quarterly OE Assessments identify themes for the TRADOC G-2 FY25 & FY24 Programs of Analysis (POA) drawn from that…

FY 2025 Operational Environment Running Estimate

11/10/2025
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T2COM, Directorate of Intelligence and Security (G-2), is producing this Fiscal Year 2025 (FY25) Operational Environment (OE) Running Estimate to…

War in Ukraine Sociocultural Running Estimate 21 – Perspectives on Peace

08/12/2025
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War in Ukraine – Perspectives On Peace:  This running estimate analyzes public opinion surrounding the Russia-Ukraine war as of April…

War in Ukraine Sociocultural Running Estimate 20 – Peripheral Impacts: The Baltics

04/15/2025
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This issue of the GCKN Sociocultural Running Estimate assesses Russian domestic support for Putin and the war in Ukraine, and…